A Passage To India (2010 ed) and the other R-word

When EM Forster wrote A Passage To India, the Indo-British relationship was one of the ruler and the ruled, of imbalances in power. Things are different now in 2010. Britain lags behind and grapples with an economic crisis of monstrous proportions, while India’s economic growth gallops along at 8.5%.

Naturally, all eyes are on David Cameron and his 90-strong high-powered ministerial and CEO delegation to India, billed as a “jobs tour” to which Cameron is bringing a “spirit of humility“.  The delegation led by Mr Cameron confirms how India remains, despite all its frustrations, a potentially strategic customer, partner, supplier and sometimes a competitor to British businesses. As such India’s growth has direct implications for British business, as we in Britain seek growth markets and profits to deal with the continued chill in our home economy.

Earlier this week, the Financial Times, in its editorial, argues that India needs to go for stronger growth (registration required). Among other points, the FT argues for improved infrastructure and productivity, liberalisation in retail sector, furthering liberalisation in the banking sector, and investment in basic health and education.

All valid points indeed.

A fundamental requirement to enable such business is that businesspersons from both countries are able to travel to meet with each other, and not just on high profile trade delegations. Not least because both the UK and India  are nations thriving on the back of the SME sector and their chief executives rarely get to join ministerial trade delegations.

Travel between India and the UK is hamstrung: by the increasingly onerous requirements for an Indian to obtain a British visa in India, and by the sheer volume of visa applications being made by British persons in the UK for travel to India. One area ripe for quick and major reform in both countries is enablement of business travel.

In doing so, the other R-word – reciprocity – is as important as any reform. It would not be remiss of Mr Cameron’s and Dr Singh’s governments to take bold steps to make it easier for British and Indian businesses to travel, and then to trade and collaborate.

Starting with a mutually cooperative visa regime. One that makes it easier for British businesses to find their passage to India in the modern times.

Other links:

Nitin Pai writes: Cameron comes with a different mindset

BBC’s Economics editor Stephanie Flanders: Osborne in India

Dean Nelson on the whys and the what-fors of Indo-British links

The raison d’être of a business/ Google and political reform

What is the raison d’être of a business*? To serve a societal or consumer need? To make profits for the shareholders? To keep the stakeholders happy? To create jobs? To realise the vision of the entrepreneur? Any combination of these?

What about social and political reform? Can that be the raison d’être of a commercial business? Would that not be called “profiteering” since any profits will necessarily be about taking advantage of some people’s miseries.

Google, whose original justification for entering China and agreeing to censorship did not convince me, and whose recent strategic moves leave me less than impressed, is now publishing a report on Google service accessibility from within mainland China.

I don’t imagine it uses up much resource for Google to generate that report. But the question must be asked:

What is the point of this exercise and what, if any, strategic aims of Google are likely to be furthered by it?

I frankly find the exercise pointless. Those in the world, who passionately care about the issues of freedom of speech (yours truly included) and political freedom, have a fair idea about what information China blocks. Many of us have friends and business contacts, who straddle China and HK, and do not hesitate to share how their web experience changes in the mainland and the hoops they jump through to circumvent the Great Firewall of China. So Google’s report is quite likely to be preaching to the choir.

If the report is about naming-and-shaming China into something, I think Google is once again over-reaching its raison d’être as a business. Moreover, having lain once with the dogs and now woken with fleas, it can now hardly be a credible turncoat.

Further the timing of such a shaming exercise couldn’t be worse. One could say that Google is just trying to add its voice to the growing discontent in USA with China’s direct impact on the SME and the manufacturing sector, whether through trade and through protectionism. But in reality, China is holding the USA by the short & curlies. Any posturing at this time could only serve to damage diplomatic relations further, especially as the balance is no longer unquestionably favourable to the USA.

My money – and I daresay the smart money of those, who understand nuance and the complex dance of cross-cultural business – is on that Google should do its duty as a business and not try to bring about political or social reform in China. At the very least, any such action reeks of hubris; at the kindest, of naïveté. And when one hopes to do business across cultures, neither is very helpful.

What about the Chinese people and their freedom of speech then?

With a rich, if somewhat inscrutable to us, heritage, the Chinese are hardly a stupid or insentient people. When they are fed up enough, they will redeem themselves.

* n.b. The word “business” here is used to indicate a commercial, profit-making enterprise, funded by private individuals and/ or other commercial institutions. A body such as UNHCR or Amnesty International would not be a “business” by this definition.

Late edits (March the 25th): Links on the issue: My agreement is not a necessary condition for links to be included.

Google’s slow boat from China or slow death? (Telegraph);

Google’s Quixotic China challenge (Business Week);

Google, China and the Art of War (Guardian); via Salil who has commented below;

While you read an explanation of why Google’s move saves face for China, remember the flanking manoeuvre as applicable to diversified businesses.

China Unicom won’t allow Google on mobiles using Android

China reminds Sergey Brin of Russia and WSJ in a hilarious moment says he is using that experience to shape Google’s China strategy. Hilarious because Brin left Russia when he was 6!  His parents remained and tolerated Russia till they were good and ready. They redeemed themselves, when they were ready. Just as the Chinese will.

Google also censors elsewhere: Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belarus, Brazil, Burma, Cuba, Ethiopia, Fiji, Indonesia, India, Iran, Morocco, North Korea, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Spain, Syria, Thailand, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, the UAE, Uzbekistan and Vietnam.

More on India’s “reasonable restrictions” on free speech here.

Rape, pillage and philanthropy: via Hemant, who has also commented below.

Serial entrepreneurs focus on core strengths

The most fabulous part of my work life over the last decade has been to observe at close quarters the craziness, the inspirations, the quirks, and the discipline of entrepreneurs and serial entrepreneurs. The main thing that separates a first-time entrepreneur from a serial entrepreneur is that the latter shows a more profound and pragmatic understanding of risk and leverage.

But I wrote that in the last post already. This post is about something else. About how serial entrepreneurs continue to create new businesses, well, serially. Here are some of the things I have observed (for confidentiality reasons, I have to write about my clients in abstract terms but those are stories that I am excited to be part of, so share them I must!)

I am sure you have stories to tell too. Please do share them in the comments.

Core strength über alles

Serial entrepreneurs, especially the successful ones, know their core strengths and rarely stray far from them. This sounds simple enough but the difficulty of such focus is only revealed when one stops to count the dead bodies that litter the field called entrepreneurship.

Core strength enhanced opens new markets

Serial entrepreneurs are lucky. And their luck is not by chance, but made by their attitude, behaviour and choices.

Core strength + new knowledge –> new market

One of my serial entrepreneurs clients is an animal health specialist. That is the area in which he founded his first venture 25 years ago. That is the area in which his current venture’s main revenue streams lie. But as he got familiar with a different kind of animal from the kind he knew well before – moving from vertebrate quadripeds to invertebrate arthropods – he learnt about a certain manufacturing process and new materials.

This new knowledge set him on the path to invent a product for human health. It has opened a new market for his venture. One could call it serendipity, one could call it luck. I think it is the fruit of positive curiosity, the desire to understand things well and the ability to think laterally about possibilities.

Core strength + removal of a constraint –> new market

Another of my serial entrepreneurs clients emerged from his last exit, in pharmaceutical manufacturing, with his hands tied by a tight non-compete. He spent the next few years making new contacts and expanding his horizons. And plotting his next venture. Now his non-compete has expired and he has in the interim developed a business line in biologics. Contract biologics manufacturing is in demand but also faces a shortage in certified facilities. His new venture is already serving large orders and he is looking to expand them further.

The constraints of the non-compete gave him time to absorb new developments and be creative with his core strength in a way that was relevant to emerging market trends.

Core strength + emergent opportunity –> new market

Dharmesh Shah‘s new venture, Hubspot, illustrates this point beautifully. A profound understanding of what technology is and does is Dharmesh’s core strength. More importantly, as a good engineer, he knows that the user only cares about the ease of use of the front-end and must not be exposed to the complexity of the algorithm or the back-end. His venture before Hubspot, Pyramid Digital Solutions, was founded on these core strengths.

Fast forward to 2006, as social media were gathering pace, and Hubspot was born to help small businesses harness the power of the internet to grow. If you run a small business and are not already familiar with Hubspot tools, do try them out. You will see for yourself.

Core strength is fortified by complementary skills/ how to pick, motivate, reward and retain good teams

Successful entrepreneurs are aware that they owe their success in part to strong teams which are strong in skills they lack. All the serial entrepreneurs I have met, observed and worked with show an amazing knack for picking the right teams. While they have king-size egos otherwise, they are brutally honest to themselves about the skills they lack. Once they pick their trustworthy lieutenants, they treat them well thus motivating and retaining them and their loyalty.

I am aware that while the post is focused on serial entrepreneurs, these could equally be characteristics of a strong strategist and a good leader in a business. How do you see these lessons applying to your business or your clients’ for that matter?

Four Cs of The Scale Challenge

”Let us try.
To-morrow, how you shall be glad for this!”

- Robert Browning

Businesses want to scale. It is especially true for ambitious entrepreneurs. It should be easy, should it not? After all, the smart view is that it is ambition that scales, ‘stuff’ does not. But the reality is not linear, not bi-modal, but nuanced. The road to hell is paved with a surfeit of ambition and a shortage of what it takes.

So what does it take to scale successfully?

Here is what.

Cardinal check: The core issues

Is the core of the business profitable? If it is not, then there may be a problem to solve already. There could be many reasons for unprofitability from bad strategy to poor execution. But one big outcome is that the business has little money to spend on dreams.

Is the business amenable to scaling? Not all businesses are. Some personality driven businesses and hourly chargeable careers may not always scale. The entrepreneur needs to take a dispassionate look – or ask someone else more dispassionate than she is to take a look – at the possibilities in and limitations of his business. That will also help think about strategic pathways to scaling. For instance, Nicky Clarke, who is a well-known hairdresser, can give only so many haircuts himself. Can he scale? Yes, possibly by personally training other stylists, or by launching haircare related products. But only he can decide if it is acceptable to him to scale that way.

Does the business have the capabilities required? A firm may be looking to open a new market. But it will be difficult to service a demand it actively creates if, for example, its manufacturing capabilities do not scale, or do not scale easily. For one of my clients in biologics manufacturing, we are doing our sums and readjusting our timetables because  the manufacturing plants must obtain regulatory approval. In other cases, a firm may not have the capabilities but may be willing and able to source help from outside.

Above all, will the added scale enhance the value of the business? If the answer to that is ‘no’, the project may not be worth the hassle.

Capital: do your sums!

Does the business have the money it will take? Nearly all scaling activities require money. Lots of it. There are both monetary and opportunity costs associated with raising money. One could approach one’s bank, assuming it is willing to lend. One could go to investors who have expertise in one’s industry or bring other non-financial value-add. However with both these sources, tough questions regarding the profitability of the core business must be answered.

If one’s ambition really does scale and if there is confidence in other organisational capabilities, then one could bootstrap, as one of my clients – a serial biotechnology entrepreneur – is doing! He understands the risks and that if he must use leverage or raise money, timing is all important.

Regardless of how one raises capital, the balance sheet will change. So will the nature and scope of control as we see next.

Control: See, letting go of.

Can you let go? For ambitious entrepreneurs, one of the hardest things to do is letting go of absolute and full control: control of the company ownership and sometimes, of strategic pathways to propel the ambition forward. It is however a necessary risk, since the entrepreneur himself cannot scale.

Scaling also requires organisational and process redesign. And empowerment of people who buy into the vision of the business and have the capability to make the right decisions. If a robust core business and a basic but clear structure exist, letting go of control enables emergent structures that suit emergent needs.

The global scaling experience of Indian IT firms, such as HCL Technologies, is informative in that respect.

In some cases, it has been my experience that it is easier to work on scale challenges with a serial entrepreneur of any age or background than with a first-time entrepreneur. Those who have been there, done that have a better understanding of leverage and using it to create enhanced value. The latter often needs to be asked: Would you rather than 10% of something that is worth £ 10Billion or 100% of squat? Brutal but a good readiness check.

Complexity: Dealing with it

I know “simplify or die” was one of the messages in my last post. But in reality, things do get more complex. What changes when complexity grows? I suggest a quick look at this link where Rui Das quotes James Kay:

“Under conditions of complexity, our framing of the situation changes from one (correct) perspective to multiple perspectives and scales. Our explanations shift from linear cause-effect models to narratives about self-organization, attractors, cannons, and propensities. Investigators into complexity do not seek prediction, control, right answers, or efficiency. (…) Rather, the investigators seek understanding, adaptability, and resilience.”

Although written in the context of science, the above description is equally applicable to business.

When seeking scale, assumptions about culture, people, time-scales all come up for scrutiny. There are gaps in data and knowledge. There are trade-offs to be made. All this makes decisions less easy.

In such a situation, a business with a clear vision, empowered employees and the ability to deal with ambiguity succeeds. All that and a lot of preparation.

Most recently, I am working with a British client keen on alliances with healthcare providers in India. Our main challenges are not just regulation, but deceptively simpler things like culture, use of language and imperfect information from potential partners. What helps? Above all, not being fazed by unpredictable developments. Also being able to join dots we have been watching which may not be directly relevant but have an impact on decision-making time lines.

And yet, helping them tackle these challenges is not the only reason why I work with entrepreneurs. I work with them because with their ambitious and unusual choices every day, they embody something else Robert Browning wrote:

“Ah, but a man’s reach should exceed his grasp,
Or what’s a heaven for?”

Strategic design for safer driving

This is the week (or month) that Toyota would like to forget. The firm that revolutionised the otherwise unglamorous manufacturing business is in a tough place. The jury is out on the causal pathways, and on whether this signals the end of Toyota or whether it will rise like a phoenix from the ashes.

Car recalls are nearly as old as the history of the car itself. Risks range from fire hazards to bursting tyres. But when there are problems with brake pedals or accelerators, cars can be unsafe at any speed, as the polemical but timely book by Ralph Nader argued.

But cars do not drive themselves. People drive them. Before you start wondering if this is a “guns don’t kill people, people do” type of argument, please read on. The degree to which the car is safe or unsafe on the road depends on the car as much as it does on the driver. The driver controls how the car reacts to the developments in its environment – other drivers, hazards and unforeseeable events.

So while car makers recall and repair cars, and insurers hasten to confirm that insurance cover on those repaired cars will remain valid, I wonder about another question:

How can design shape driver behaviour and his/ her interaction with the car and its environment?

Here are my thoughts. Share yours in comments.

Designing the environment: Where to begin?

There are several elements in the mix here. Including, amongst others, the use of road and speed cameras to catch bad drivers, better education by schools, better training, responsible car advertising, to a change in societal attitude to inconsiderate driving. Syamant captures some of the frustrations of driving in India, not best known for its driving conditions, and discusses possible fixes in this blog post. The comments are worth a read too.

It’s a tall order. One could argue that redesigning the environment probably should start at better urban planning, that reduces the need to drive, makes it easy to walk or bike or use the bus. The discussion can go on and on.

Most recently, however, Mercedes Benz in the UK has sought to tackle one piece of this complex jigsaw  through better training, about which I have written earlier.

Designing the machine: Simplify or die!

In the last 50 years, cars have increasingly incorporated safety features. Seat belts, for instance, are now mostly de rigeur as are other safety features. Cars are also getting more “intelligent” features which can aid the driver pre-empt or correct costly errors. Possibly even create a false sense of security and encourage speeding?

At the same time, cars can now do top speeds over 250mph. Gratuitous pictures of said fast cars can be found here, since fortunately the price tags mean not too many of these are on the roads! But supercars aside, my regular car can do a top speed of 200 mph.

Needless to say that fast cars need fast response times.

While distractions inside the cars grow and grow. You can pick tracks from 12 CDs right from the controls on your steering wheel; adjust the speakers to be just so; fiddle with seat heating or adjust the air-conditioning for the nitpicky passengers. Recently I even felt sorry for a driver, driving after dark on the motorway. The sat-nav screen, inside the otherwise dark car, within the driver’s peripheral vision, was playing a DVD. The shotgun rider, as well as the back seat passengers were merrily singing along.  The driver was driving fast while coping with the dazzle inside and outside the car.

In short, modern cars are full of distractions, safety features can encourage recklessness and cars can speed up pretty quickly. The driver’s attention however hasn’t evolved to keep up with the collective onslaught of all these.

So what’s my point? I am arguing for “simplified design of cars”.

Since cars have much computing power inside them now, everything major should be programmable on the key hob. The rest should be removed or set to a default. There is plenty of comfort in the car now for passengers and driver alike. But in the main, car design should be simplified to serve the driver’s need to pay attention to the road, and make swift decisions as situations develop.

Designing the incentives: Custom-made insurance?

Here is an interesting TV ad from Axa Insurance that uses ‘pavement rage’ to illustrate how experience in driving can drive insurance premia down. The 30 seconds needed to watch it are worth it.

With much innovation in machine design, the actuarial models still lag behind. Searching for “car insurance innovation” brings up next to nothing notable. And uninsured car drivers still drive everybody’s average premium up.

But the health insurance industry has lessons. On offer from them are incentives for individuals who use the gym regularly and have other good health behaviours, and health accounts where a person can save money for later years when he/ she may need it. On the anvil are shorter term health insurance policies so one neither pays for nor unfairly benefits from being lumped with other less or more healthy age groups.

So how about designing “car insurance in step with individual driving behaviour”? Nature of roads most driven, speeding, driving patterns and so on. The technology to establish such profiles already exists and is getting better. Insurance redesign could add a powerful, quantifiable incentive to safer driving.

So what?

While environmental redesign remains a tough and complex challenge, the car makers and the car insurers can respond more swiftly.

As more and more drivers get on the crowded roads in developing markets, it’s time they did.

What do you think?